Monthly Market Report

June 2026: San Diego Country Estates Detached Homes Market Report

9 SDCE detached homes sold in June 2026. Median sold price steady at $850,000. Months supply of inventory crossed into balanced territory for a third straight month. A closer look at what the numbers actually say.

By Scott Hodge, Broker/Owner Homeport Residential ยท July 1, 2026

Bottom Line Up Front

9 detached homes closed in San Diego Country Estates in June 2026, up slightly from 8 in May. The median sold price held at $850,000 and the median days on market was 22. The typical home still sold just above asking, at 100.6 percent of list price.

The story this month is inventory. Months supply of inventory rose to 3.6, up from 2.6 in May and 2.2 in April. That crosses SDCE out of seller's market territory and into the balanced band for the first time in this record. Three straight months pointing the same way is worth watching. It is not yet a confirmed trend, and pricing power for well-priced homes has not weakened.

What sold in SDCE in June 2026

Nine detached homes closed in San Diego Country Estates between June 1 and June 30, 2026. The price range was $620,000 to $895,000. Five of the nine sold between $850,000 and $895,000, with the other four spread below $800,000 and a noticeable gap in between.

Here is the snapshot of the month, with comparison to May 2026 for context.

MetricMay 2026June 2026
Detached homes closed89
Median sold price$850,200$850,000
Average sold price$863,675$788,444
Median days on market2622
Median sold-to-list price ratio100.7%100.6%
Months supply of inventory2.63.6

Reading between the numbers

The median sold price barely moved, from $850,200 in May to $850,000 in June. But the average sold price dropped sharply, from $863,675 to $788,444. When the median holds steady while the average falls, the mix of what sold has changed, not the underlying value of homes.

This month, the change was a wider spread. June's sales split into two groups: four homes below $800,000 and five homes clustered tightly between $850,000 and $895,000. There were no sales in the $800,000s at all. That barbell pulls the average down while leaving the median parked in the upper cluster.

Inventory loosened, pricing power held. The most important signal this month is months supply of inventory rising to 3.6. At the same time, the median home still sold at 100.6 percent of asking, essentially flat with May. Those two facts pull in opposite directions, and the honest read is that both are true at once: there are more homes to choose from, but the ones that are priced correctly are still getting their number.

Days on market ticked down, not up. Median days on market fell from 26 to 22. On nine sales that is a soft number, but it is a useful counterweight to the inventory story. If the market were turning hard toward buyers, you would expect homes to sit longer, not sell faster. They did not. The buyer pool is still active for the right home at the right price.

The honest read

June is the third straight month of loosening inventory in SDCE, and the first month it has crossed into balanced territory. That is a real directional signal and worth watching. It is not, on three months of data, a confirmed shift, and I would want to see 4 to 6 months heading the same way before calling it a turn.

What has not changed is that well-priced SDCE homes are still selling at or above asking. The market is softening at the edges, giving buyers a little more room, without yet giving up the pricing discipline that has held for two years.

Where June 2026 sales clustered

Looking at the nine detached closings, the price distribution this month was unusually split.

That gap in the $800,000s is the interesting part. June's activity was concentrated at two ends: an entry tier under $800,000 and a mid-upper cluster right around $850,000 to $895,000. Whether that split reflects the specific homes that happened to close in a single month, or something about where buyer demand is strongest, is not something one month of nine sales can answer. It is worth watching in July.

Months supply of inventory in SDCE

Months supply of inventory tells you whether a market favors buyers or sellers. The calculation is simple: divide the current number of active listings by the monthly sales pace. The result is how long it would take to sell every currently-listed home if no new listings came on the market.

The general rule of thumb for housing markets:

For San Diego Country Estates detached homes in June 2026:

3.6
Months Supply of Inventory
San Diego Country Estates detached homes, June 2026. Now in the balanced band, up from 2.6 in May.

This is the number to watch this month. The running record is now three readings deep: 2.2 months in April, 2.6 in May, and 3.6 in June. That is three straight months of loosening inventory, and June is the first reading to cross out of seller's market territory into the balanced band.

Here is the discipline that matters. A single month of movement is rarely a trend, and even three months is a signal to watch rather than a confirmed shift. I look for 4 to 6 months heading the same direction before reading it as a real change in the market. Three consecutive readings pointing the same way is more than noise, but it is not yet a turn. July and August will tell us whether this is the start of a genuine rebalancing or just a normal summer swing in a small market.

The 3.6 reading also reconciles the apparent contradiction in this month's data. Inventory has loosened, which sounds bearish for sellers. But the median home still sold at 100.6 percent of list and days on market actually fell to 22. There are more homes on the market than there were in spring, but not so many that sellers have lost their footing. Balanced territory means neither side holds strong leverage, and that is a fair description of where SDCE sits right now.

Tracker In Progress

How accurate are Zillow Zestimates in SDCE?

Each month I track how Zillow's Zestimates compare to actual SDCE sale prices. The method matters: I capture the Zestimate while a home is still listed, then compare it to what the home actually sells for weeks later. Comparing a Zestimate to a sale after the sale has closed is meaningless, because Zillow updates its model once the sale records. The only honest test is prediction against reality.

Here is the June 2026 data. Eight homes that had Zestimates captured in April or May (while they were active or pending) closed in June. The captured Zestimate is what Zillow's algorithm predicted before the sale. The June sold price is what a real buyer actually paid.

Property Sold Date Captured Zestimate June Sold Price Difference
3-bedroom, 2,167 sf June 18 $642,400 $649,000 +1.0% (+$6,600)
3-bedroom, 2,321 sf June 5 $770,700 $765,000 -0.7% (-$5,700)
3-bedroom, 1,890 sf June 26 $602,700 $620,000 +2.8% (+$17,300)
4-bedroom, 2,336 sf June 22 $860,300 $876,000 +1.8% (+$15,700)
3-bedroom, 2,259 sf June 4 $880,900 $880,000 -0.1% (-$900)
4-bedroom, 1,994 sf June 17 $831,400 $850,000 +2.2% (+$18,600)
4-bedroom, 2,455 sf June 2 $859,000 $860,000 +0.1% (+$1,000)
4-bedroom, 2,700 sf June 22 $930,300 $895,000 -3.9% (-$35,300)

Of the eight June pairs, five landed within 2 percent of the actual sale price. The average absolute miss was about 1.6 percent. The largest miss was a 4-bedroom, 2,700 square foot home that Zillow valued at $930,300 back in April and that sold for $895,000 in June, a $35,300 overshoot of 3.9 percent.

That outlier is worth noting because it runs the opposite direction from last month's. In May, the biggest miss was Zillow running $50,100 low. In June, the biggest miss was Zillow running $35,300 high. That directional flip is the honest complication in this data: Zillow is not reliably high or low in SDCE. It is usually close, with occasional larger misses that can land either way.

Adding June's eight pairs to the earlier months brings the running dataset to 15 SDCE homes with a pre-sale Zestimate matched to an actual sale. Across all 15, the Zestimate landed within 2 percent of the sale price 11 times, with an average absolute miss of about 1.8 percent and a slight tendency to run low. That is a meaningful sample forming, though still short of the roughly 20 pairs I want before treating any of it as a firm conclusion.

The honest takeaway for now: a Zestimate is a reasonable starting point for a conversation, not a price. Most of the time it is within a couple percent. But a 3 to 4 percent miss on an $895,000 home is $35,000, and that is real money on a real transaction. The tracker continues, and the full analysis will publish once the sample is large enough to stand on.

What this means for SDCE sellers

If you are considering selling in the next 90 days, three observations from June 2026 worth carrying into your decision.

You have more competition than you did in spring. Months supply of inventory has risen for three straight months. There are 32 active detached listings right now against a pace of 9 sales a month. That does not put you at a disadvantage, balanced is still balanced, but the days of a thin market with almost no competing inventory have eased. Your home needs to stand out on price and presentation more than it did in April.

Price discipline still works, and matters more now. The 100.6 percent median sold-to-list ratio means correctly priced homes are still meeting their asking price. With more inventory on the market, the penalty for overpricing is higher: buyers have alternatives, and an aspirationally priced home is the one that sits while the realistically priced one down the street sells.

Homes are still moving reasonably fast. The median home sold in 22 days, actually a touch faster than May. This is not a market where well-prepared listings languish. It is a market where the gap between a sharp listing and a soft one is widening.

What this means for SDCE buyers

The mirror image is just as honest.

You have more to choose from than buyers did three months ago. Inventory has loosened for three consecutive months, and the market has moved into balanced territory. That gives you a little more room and a little less pressure than the spring market did.

But this is not a fire sale, and the data does not support waiting for one. The median home still sold slightly above asking, and homes are still selling in about three weeks. The 100.6 percent sold-to-list ratio is an average, and many specific homes, especially those that have been on the market longer, are selling at or below list. The opportunity right now is selectivity, not a broad discount. If you know what you want, June's market gave you more options to find it.

How does this compare to Ramona overall?

San Diego Country Estates sits inside the broader Ramona, CA 92065 market, and comparing the two puts SDCE's numbers in context. In June 2026, Ramona-wide detached homes posted a median sold price of $850,000 across 25 closings, identical to SDCE's $850,000 median on 9 sales. At the median, an SDCE home cost the same as a detached home elsewhere in Ramona this month. There was no measurable SDCE premium at the midpoint.

Two differences are worth noting. Ramona-wide homes sold in a median 15 days against SDCE's 22, and Ramona-wide months supply of inventory was 3.3 against SDCE's 3.6. Both markets have loosened into balanced territory, so the rebalancing is regional, not unique to SDCE. The faster Ramona-wide days on market is a real gap, though SDCE's 22-day figure rests on only nine sales, which makes it a soft signal rather than a structural difference. For the full picture across all of Ramona, including the price tiers and neighborhoods outside the Country Estates, see the Ramona CA detached homes market analysis on Homeport Residential, which covers the wider 92065 market that SDCE is part of.

Frequently asked questions

How many homes sold in San Diego Country Estates in June 2026?

9 detached homes closed in San Diego Country Estates during June 2026, up slightly from 8 in May. The median sold price was $850,000 and the median days on market was 22.

What is the current months supply of inventory in SDCE?

San Diego Country Estates detached homes had 3.6 months supply of inventory at the end of June 2026, calculated as 32 active listings divided by 9 closed sales for the month. Under 3 months is a seller's market, 3 to 6 months is balanced. June is the third straight month of loosening inventory, up from 2.2 in April and 2.6 in May. Three readings in the same direction is worth watching, but a confirmed trend usually takes 4 to 6 months of movement.

Is the SDCE market getting stronger or weaker?

The June 2026 data leans gently toward buyers without turning. Months supply of inventory has risen for three straight months and just crossed into balanced territory at 3.6. At the same time, the median home still sold slightly above asking at 100.6 percent of list. The honest read is that inventory is loosening while pricing power holds for well-priced homes. That is a market softening at the edges, not a market turning.

Are SDCE homes still selling at or above asking price?

Yes, on average. The median sold-to-list price ratio in June 2026 was 100.6 percent, essentially unchanged from May at 100.7 percent. Even as inventory has loosened, correctly priced homes are still meeting or slightly beating their asking price in SDCE.

What was the price range of SDCE detached home sales in June 2026?

June 2026 detached sales in SDCE ranged from $620,000 to $895,000. The median was $850,000 and the average was $788,444. Five of the nine sales fell between $850,000 and $895,000, with the remaining four spread below $800,000, a bimodal split with little activity in between.

How accurate are Zillow Zestimates for SDCE homes?

Across a growing sample of 15 SDCE homes where a Zestimate was captured before the home sold, Zestimates landed within 2 percent of the actual sale price 11 times. The average absolute miss is about 1.8 percent. The misses have gone in both directions, so Zillow is not reliably high or low in SDCE, it is usually close with occasional larger misses either way. This is still a building sample and tracking continues.

Should I list my SDCE home now or wait?

That depends on your situation. Inventory has loosened for three straight months, which gives buyers slightly more choice than they had in spring. But well-priced homes are still selling at or above asking, and the median home sold in 22 days. The honest broker answer is that the data does not give you a clear reason to rush, and it does not give you a clear reason to wait either. It comes down to your own timing and your home's specific position in the market.

Scott Hodge, Broker/Owner of Homeport Residential

Scott Hodge

Broker/Owner, Homeport Residential. Navy veteran. San Diego Country Estates resident and specialist.

DRE #01977659

Want a straight read on your specific situation?

The numbers in this report are averages. Your home is not an average. I will give you an honest assessment of where your property sits in the current SDCE market, including telling you if waiting makes more sense than listing.

View the full June 2026 detached homes Market Report with the complete list of comparable sales.

Sources: Compiled from Paragon MLS data for San Diego Country Estates closings June 1 through June 30, 2026. Zestimate accuracy data captured from comparative market analyses generated through Cloud CMA in April, May, and June 2026. As of July 1, 2026.